Mar 3, 2025,Guardian: Ministers plan major changes to Send education in England
Labour is preparing major changes to special educational needs provision in English schools, as individual councils raise the alarm over debts running into hundreds of millions of pounds that have pushed many to the brink of bankruptcy.
A Guardian analysis has found the vast majority of English upper-tier councils have accumulated often eye-watering special educational needs spending deficits. At least 12 have forecast accumulated deficits of more than £100m [$127M], running as high as £312m [$396M], when the debts have to be settled in a year’s time.
It is understood ministers are preparing a white paper due to be published in late spring setting out details of what one insider called a “complete recalibration” of the special educational needs and disabilities (Send) system.
The government is believed to be considering changes to existing Send legislation that councils hope would ease the deficits, alongside a series of measures designed to prioritise state school provision and cut council spending in costly private specialist needs schools.
There are frantic calls from English local authorities for ministers to write off a collective £5bn forecast deficit on Send budgets. The deficit – effectively kept off council books through a temporary credit-facility arrangement called an “override” since 2018 – is due to hit council balance sheets on 31 March 2026, a financial shock that could push more than 60 councils into insolvency.
Council Send spending has accelerated in recent years, and the deficit – the gap between the money the government gives councils for Send and the amount they have been legally obliged to spend on provision – has become one of the biggest threats to the viability of many town halls, on a par with the social care crisis.
Local authorities are lobbying for law changes to give them more control over Send costs by limiting parental rights to appeal over Send assessments, and reducing the powers of Send tribunals to direct how a child’s needs are provided for in the school system.
Kate Foale, a Labour councillor and Send spokesperson for the County Councils Network, said law changes had to go hand in hand with reform and extra investment in special needs education. Foale said: “It [the Send system] is adversarial, and it doesn’t work for children and their families. We are in a really bad place.”
Parents’ groups warned ministers would have a “massive fight on their hands” over any attempts to dilute children’s legal rights to Send support. “Reducing Send entitlement won’t make needs go away. You just end up with lots of children with needs but no support,” said Tania Tirraoro of the campaign group Special Needs Jungle.
The biggest forecast deficits by next March include Hampshire county council (£312m [$396M] by March 2026), West Sussex (£222m [$282M]), Norfolk (£186m), Cheshire East (£154m [$195M]), Warwickshire (£151m [$192M]), Wiltshire (£117m [$149M]), Oxfordshire (£111m [$141M]), Gloucestershire (£108m [$137M]), Somerset (£100m [$127M), and Staffordshire (£100m [$127M]).
Guardian analysis of two-thirds of English upper-tier councils found at least 13 have forecast accumulated Send deficits of between £50m [$63M]and £100m [$127M], including Sefton (£86m [$109M]), Hertfordshire (£81m [$103M]), Cornwall (£70m [$89M]), Cambridgeshire (£70m) [$89M], Leicestershire (£66m [$84M]), Merton (£65m [$83M]), Central Bedfordshire (£65m) [$83M]and Wokingham (£61m [$77M]).
Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole council, whose deficit will reach £165m [$209M] in a year’s time, said without the deficit override it would be technically bankrupt from next month because its Send deficit exceeds its available financial reserves. It described its position as “an impossible situation”.
Many councils have had to take out huge loans to manage cash flow crises caused by Send spending. The Chartered Institute of Public Finance and Accountancy estimates the cost of these loans, including interest payments, amounts to around £600m[$762M] a year, which could have been spent on frontline services.
The Send deficit is also eating into other parts of council budgets, with many town halls reporting unsustainable increases in the cost of home-to-school transport as more children with education, health and care plans (EHCPs) are sent to out-of-borough special schools.
The deficits are driven by huge high-needs budget overspends, especially on EHCPs, which set out a council’s legal duty to meet a child’s educational support requirements.
A rapid rise in pupils diagnosed with autistic spectrum disorder, special emotional needs (including ADHD), and speech, language and communication needs has fuelled a 140% increase in EHCPs between 2015 and 2024, from 240,000 to 576,000.
Although 2014 legislation clarified entitlement to Send support, critics say the previous government failed to anticipate, plan for, properly fund and manage the resulting explosion in need and demand. Guardian analysis indicates that EHCP demand continues to increase rapidly, with some councils reporting 50% rises in the past 12 months.
Bradford, already on the edge of effective bankruptcy because of social care pressures, is one of tiny handful of councils currently in surplus on its Send budget. However, it says an expected surge in EHCPs will rapidly turn this into a £14m [$18M] deficit by March 2026, rising to £54m [$69M] in 2027.
Experts say an extension may delay a local financial meltdown across local government but is unlikely to give councils enough time to tackle the underlying causes of the deficit, which if not mitigated could rise to as much as £8bn [$10B] by 2029. A Guardian analysis of internal documents and budget reports in more than two-thirds of upper-tier English councils, also found:
Some councils have raised concerns about profiteering amid frustration over huge fees from private specialist schools, which can charge between £50,000 [$63K]and £100,000 [$127K]per place, typically two to three times the cost of state provision.
Tensions between headteachers and councils over attempts by the latter to shift millions of pounds from local school budgets to ease high needs deficits. Some schools have said such moves would force them to sack Send support staff.
Attempts to rein in local Send demand and spending via “safety valve” initiatives at 42 councils have largely failed, with most failing to hit savings targets on time, despite receiving government grants running into tens of millions of pounds.
A Department for Education spokesperson said the Send system had long been failing to meet the needs of children and families. They said: “Through our Plan for Change, we are determined to improve inclusivity and expertise in mainstream schools, making sure special schools cater to children with the most complex needs and restoring parents’ trust that their child will get the right support.
“We are already making progress by investing £1bn [$1.3B] into Send, alongside £740m [$940M] for councils to create more specialist places in mainstream schools, paving the way for significant, long-term reform.”
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